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Subject: Mike the Dealer's Football Playoff Line
Sorry about the layoff everyone, got crazy during
the holiday season and then my computer got virused silly
and I couldn’t get ahold of my E-mail. So anyhow
it’s playoff time, or ‘the tournament’ as the football folks call it.
I’ll preview every game and give my picks here.
Home team in CAPS
BENGALS -2.5 Jets
The Bengals laid down and died for the Jets last
Sunday night, in doing so they gave the Jets a playoff birth
and now the two teams face off in a re-match
but this time in Cincy. The Bengals have been awful as of late,
while the Jets struggled but then caught 2 teams
not really trying.
This line opened at 4 and has moved quickly to
-2.5…
This means the ‘sharps’ in Vegas have jumped
on the Jets quickly and are betting good money on them.
We’ll see if the smart money is right on Saturday.
MY PICK: I go with the smart money and take the Jets +2.5 and it’s my lock of the week.
COWBOYS -3.5 Eagles
Another re-match, but this time in the same stadium
as before, last week’s game clearly effected the lines,
as instead of being meaningless like the Bengals/Jets
game, this game could have given the Eagles a bye and home field
for at least one game if they had won, but they
were routed by the Cowboys and now must play in Dallas again.
The week 17 on this game was Dallas -3, having
just won convincingly, Vegas moved the line to -4.5 to start and
quickly the money has come in on the Eagles,
since 1 game doesn’t truly change what a game between teams is
supposed to be line (barring injuries to key
players) the sharp money grabbed the free point and a half Vegas was
giving the Eagles, expect this line to move back
to that number once the power of Cowboy Money kicks in.
MY PICK: I think the winner of this game represents
the NFC in the Super Bowl to be honest,
and (cover your eyes Bart) I think Dallas wins
this game, and covers. I take Dallas -3.5
PATRIOTS -3.5 Ravens
This line opened at Pats -6.5 and has been HAMMERED…The
sharp money loves the Ravens, and why not,
the Patriots offense has been two men, Moss and
Welker, just about all year and now one of them is out with an injury.
These teams played a very tight game week 4 that
was decided by a dropped pass on 4th down as the Ravens were
driving to win, they meet again as Wildcard Weekend
is all rematches, 3 of the 4 being re-matches from week 17.
MY PICK: Whenever everyone piles on against the Patriots, they win and make Vegas a lot of money, I’ll take the Patriots -3.5
CARDS -1.5 Packers
Line opened at Cards -3 and again Vegas loved
the dog. The Packers have been playing excellent football,
winning 7 of their last 8 and riding a big time
hot streak, they trampled the Cards in what was a meaningless game
for both teams, but now it’s for real and we’ll
see if the Cards can get back into the swing of things.
MY PICK: I take the Packers +1.5, I really feel like they are rolling and I don’t think Arizona is a tough place to play at all.
Send your picks anytime before Saturday’s opening
game to mikethedealer@hotmail.com
make sure you list
one of the 4 games as your lock, and I’ll be
keeping the standings for the whole playoffs, so we’ll know who wins
the over-all playoffs as well as the week to
week winners.
Bart says bet on Arizona.
Kurt Warner will throw it and Larry Fitzgerald
will catch it.
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